Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-09 | 2–1 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 60% | |
| 2023-11-25 | 2–0 | Cheltenham +2 | Oxford Utd 52% | |
| 2023-04-25 | 4–0 | Oxford Utd +4 | Oxford Utd 43% | |
| 2022-08-27 | 1–2 | Oxford Utd +1 | Cheltenham 39% | |
| 2022-01-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Oxford Utd 59% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 1–0 | Cheltenham +1 | Cheltenham 38% | |
| 2015-01-03 | 1–2 | Cheltenham +1 | Oxford Utd 48% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Cheltenham 43% | |
| 2014-03-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Oxford Utd 50% | |
| 2013-09-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Cheltenham 38% | |
| 2013-01-01 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 47% | |
| 2012-09-18 | 2–1 | Cheltenham +1 | Cheltenham 44% | |
| 2012-03-24 | 0–0 | Draw | Cheltenham 43% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 1–3 | Cheltenham +2 | Oxford Utd 42% | |
| 2011-01-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Oxford Utd 42% | |
| 2010-09-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Cheltenham 44% |