Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-28 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 54% | |
| 2026-05-13 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2025-12-14 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 45% | |
| 2025-04-12 | 5–2 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2024-12-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 51% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 2–4 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2023-03-11 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2022-08-27 | 4–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2022-03-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2021-10-30 | 0–2 | Crystal Palace +2 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2021-05-01 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2021-01-17 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2020-01-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2019-10-19 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2019-04-14 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2018-12-22 | 2–3 | Crystal Palace +1 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2017-12-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2017-09-23 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 74% | |
| 2017-05-06 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 70% | |
| 2016-11-19 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 51% | |
| 2016-01-16 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2015-09-12 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2015-04-06 | 2–1 | Crystal Palace +1 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2014-12-20 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2014-04-27 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2013-12-28 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 79% |