Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-01 | 3–0 | Leeds +3 | Leeds 65% | |
| 2023-08-12 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Leeds 39% | |
| 2019-12-29 | 4–5 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 45% | |
| 2019-10-19 | 1–0 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 54% | |
| 2019-04-06 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Leeds 41% | |
| 2018-09-22 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Leeds 59% | |
| 2017-12-30 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Leeds 50% | |
| 2017-09-12 | 2–0 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 62% | |
| 2017-03-03 | 1–3 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 40% | |
| 2016-08-13 | 1–2 | Birmingham +1 | Leeds 43% | |
| 2016-04-12 | 1–2 | Leeds +1 | Birmingham 49% | |
| 2015-10-03 | 0–2 | Birmingham +2 | Leeds 42% | |
| 2015-01-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 43% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 39% | |
| 2014-04-26 | 1–3 | Leeds +2 | Birmingham 45% | |
| 2013-10-20 | 4–0 | Leeds +4 | Leeds 43% | |
| 2013-04-20 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 49% | |
| 2012-10-27 | 0–1 | Birmingham +1 | Leeds 43% | |
| 2012-01-31 | 1–4 | Birmingham +3 | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2011-10-26 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 48% |