Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-05 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-09 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2025-10-05 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 45% | |
| 2025-01-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 77% | |
| 2024-02-20 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2024-02-05 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2023-05-28 | 1–0 | Brentford +1 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2022-11-12 | 1–2 | Brentford +1 | Manchester City 79% | |
| 2022-02-09 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 83% | |
| 2021-12-29 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 66% |