Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 43% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 54% | |
| 2022-04-15 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Nottingham 36% | |
| 2021-11-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Nottingham 45% | |
| 2021-03-02 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Nottingham 46% | |
| 2020-10-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 50% | |
| 2020-01-19 | 3–1 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 64% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 1–2 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 37% |