Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 51% | |
| 2025-11-04 | 0–3 | Stoke +3 | Oxford Utd 41% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 46% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 40% |