Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-12 | 2–1 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 63% | |
| 2023-11-28 | 0–2 | Portsmouth +2 | Portsmouth 40% | |
| 2023-02-14 | 1–0 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 54% | |
| 2022-09-13 | 0–2 | Portsmouth +2 | Portsmouth 44% | |
| 2022-02-08 | 2–1 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 44% | |
| 2021-09-28 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 41% | |
| 2021-04-10 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Portsmouth 55% | |
| 2020-10-03 | 2–4 | Portsmouth +2 | Burton 40% | |
| 2019-09-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Portsmouth 47% | |
| 2019-04-19 | 1–2 | Portsmouth +1 | Burton 38% | |
| 2018-10-23 | 2–2 | Draw | Portsmouth 48% | |
| 2015-01-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 36% | |
| 2014-09-07 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 46% | |
| 2014-03-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Portsmouth 37% | |
| 2013-09-14 | 1–2 | Portsmouth +1 | Burton 44% |