Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-02 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 50% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 5–1 | Stoke +4 | Stoke 37% | |
| 2025-02-12 | 2–0 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 50% | |
| 2024-10-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 42% | |
| 2024-05-04 | 4–0 | Stoke +4 | Stoke 36% | |
| 2023-09-30 | 2–3 | Stoke +1 | Bristol City 49% | |
| 2023-04-07 | 1–2 | Bristol City +1 | Stoke 51% | |
| 2022-12-17 | 1–2 | Stoke +1 | Bristol City 45% | |
| 2022-04-15 | 0–1 | Bristol City +1 | Stoke 57% | |
| 2021-11-24 | 1–0 | Bristol City +1 | Stoke 38% | |
| 2021-04-02 | 0–2 | Stoke +2 | Bristol City 40% | |
| 2020-09-20 | 0–2 | Bristol City +2 | Stoke 46% | |
| 2020-07-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Bristol City 47% | |
| 2019-09-14 | 1–2 | Bristol City +1 | Stoke 37% | |
| 2019-01-01 | 0–2 | Bristol City +2 | Stoke 54% | |
| 2018-10-27 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Bristol City 36% |