Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-26 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Swansea 44% | |
| 2018-10-20 | 1–0 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 37% | |
| 2016-03-19 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 60% | |
| 2015-10-24 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 39% | |
| 2015-03-21 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Aston Villa 37% | |
| 2014-12-26 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 56% | |
| 2014-04-26 | 4–1 | Swansea +3 | Swansea 50% | |
| 2013-12-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 41% | |
| 2013-01-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Swansea 58% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 2–0 | Aston Villa +2 | Swansea 39% | |
| 2012-01-02 | 0–2 | Swansea +2 | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2011-11-27 | 0–0 | Draw | Swansea 41% |