Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2025-12-20 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2025-01-04 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2024-05-19 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 84% | |
| 2023-09-16 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2023-05-03 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 82% | |
| 2022-08-07 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2022-05-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2021-11-28 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 64% | |
| 2021-02-27 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2020-10-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2020-02-19 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 81% | |
| 2019-08-10 | 0–5 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2019-02-27 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 81% | |
| 2018-11-24 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2018-04-29 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2017-12-03 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 82% | |
| 2017-02-01 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2016-08-28 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2016-01-23 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2015-09-19 | 1–2 | West Ham +1 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2015-04-19 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2014-10-25 | 2–1 | West Ham +1 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2014-05-11 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2013-10-19 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 43% | |
| 2013-04-27 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2012-11-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 51% | |
| 2011-05-01 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2010-12-11 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 37% | |
| 2010-05-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 41% |