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← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Manchester City vs Newcastle
Final Score: Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle
Premier League
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 57% chance to win.

Manchester City
16-5-5 · Rating 2063
Form: WWDWL
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VS
Newcastle
10-6-10 · Rating 1916
Form: WLLLD
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Model Probability
57%
19%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatNewcastle
26Games played26
2.1Avg goals scored1.4
0.9Avg goals conceded1.4
62% / 19% / 19%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 23% / 38%
77% Home win % / Away win % 23%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Manchester CityStatNewcastle
23All-time wins (29 meetings, 4 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2025-11-22): Newcastle 2–1 Manchester City

Recent Results

Manchester City

vs Fulham
Wed, Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Liverpool
Sun, Feb 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
@ Tottenham
Sun, Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Wolves
Sat, Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Manchester Utd
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2

Newcastle

@ Tottenham
Tue, Feb 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Brentford
Sat, Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
@ Liverpool
Sat, Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Aston Villa
Sun, Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
@ Wolves
Sun, Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0