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Final Score: Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
Premier League
Sun, Mar 1, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 62% chance to win.

18-7-3 · Rating 2074
Form: WDDWW
VS
12-9-6 · Rating 1899
Form: DDWWW
Model Probability
62%
16%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatChelsea
28Games played27
2.0Avg goals scored1.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.1
64% / 25% / 11%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 33% / 22%
77% Home win % / Away win % 46%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatChelsea
11All-time wins (32 meetings, 9 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.4Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-11-30): Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal