Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Derby vs Stoke
Final Score: Derby 2–0 Stoke
Premier League
Mon, Apr 6, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 51% chance to win.

17-9-14 · Rating 1620
Form: LWWLW
VS
15-9-16 · Rating 1612
Form: WLWDL
Model Probability
51%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatStoke
40Games played40
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
1.3Avg goals conceded1.1
42% / 22% / 35%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 22% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 30%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatStoke
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-08-09): Stoke 3–1 Derby