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Derby vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 1–2 Birmingham
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
Premier League
Derby
1-1-4Rating 1591
Form: LLWLD
1 – 2
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Premier League
Birmingham
1-4-1Rating 1696
Form: LDDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBirmingham
6Games played6
0.8Avg goals scored1.3
1.8Avg goals conceded1.3
17% / 17% / 67%Win / Draw / Loss17% / 67% / 17%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBirmingham
11All-time wins (24 meetings, 9 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-03-21): Derby 1–0 Birmingham