Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST
Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 49.2% | 97.0% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Win | 56.2% | 98.2% | 1.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 47.4% | 97.1% | 1.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 39.7% | 94.4% | 2.4% | <1% |
Liverpool
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.0% | 53.2% | 9.5% | <1% |
| If Win | 4.6% | 63.5% | 8.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.2% | 51.8% | 10.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.2% | 42.4% | 9.6% | <1% |
| Liverpool | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 0.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 40% / 60% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Liverpool | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 11 draws) | 11 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.7 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1