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Premier League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 4:30 PM BST

Nottingham vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 56% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
VS
4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
20%
56%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 41.1%96.7%1.3%<1%
If Win 46.3%97.0%1.5%<1%
If Draw 37.3%95.1%2.2%<1%
If Lose 30.0%92.8%2.2%<1%

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.8%3.7%16.2%
If Win <1%11.5%5.1%7.3%
If Draw <1%7.9%3.9%14.2%
If Lose <1%5.7%2.9%17.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NottinghamStatArsenal
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 0% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NottinghamStatArsenal
1All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.4Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Nottingham 0–0 Arsenal