← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Marseille vs Lyon
Final Score: Marseille 3–2 Lyon
Ligue 1
Sun, Mar 1, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Marseille vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 38% chance to win.

12-4-7 · Rating 1764
Form: LDLDW
VS
14-3-6 · Rating 1829
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLyon
23Games played23
2.1Avg goals scored1.6
1.3Avg goals conceded1.0
52% / 17% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss61% / 13% / 26%
64% Home win % / Away win % 42%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLyon
8All-time wins (31 meetings, 10 draws)13
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2025-08-31): Lyon 1–0 Marseille