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Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 39% chance to win.
Final Score: Toulouse 0–1 Marseille
Sat, Mar 7, 2026 · 8:05 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Toulouse
8-7-9Rating 1756
Form: LDLLD
0 – 1
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
39%
Ligue 1
Marseille
13-4-7Rating 1799
Form: WLDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatMarseille
24Games played24
1.4Avg goals scored2.1
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
33% / 29% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss54% / 17% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 42%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatMarseille
1All-time wins (28 meetings, 12 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.9Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2025-11-29): Marseille 2–2 Toulouse