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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 4:15 PM BST

Lille vs Le Havre Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 58% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1717
Form: LDLDL
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Havre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%25.4%16.9%
If Win <1%1.7%1.4%18.1%9.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.0%15.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.7%20.0%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.2%28.6%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 5.7%35.2%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 2.9%22.6%12.3%1.0%<1%
If Lose 2.1%18.1%10.1%2.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatLe Havre
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatLe Havre
4All-time wins (6 meetings, 1 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.8Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Lille 1–1 Le Havre