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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Lille vs Brest Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 58% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1717
Form: LLWDD
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brest

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%1.6%19.4%7.2%
If Win <1%2.9%2.8%12.6%3.9%
If Draw <1%1.2%1.7%17.3%7.7%
If Lose <1%<1%1.3%21.8%9.8%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.9%29.7%11.7%1.2%<1%
If Win 6.8%35.9%13.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.5%24.5%13.1%1.0%<1%
If Lose 2.2%18.7%10.8%1.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatBrest
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatBrest
9All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Lille 1–1 Brest