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Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Monaco vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 48% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.5%28.1%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 6.5%39.9%14.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.9%28.9%12.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.6%22.5%10.5%1.3%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.0%59.0%12.9%<1%<1%
If Win 22.0%68.0%11.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.8%56.0%13.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 11.0%47.6%13.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatLille
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.6Avg goals conceded0.8
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
100% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatLille
10All-time wins (28 meetings, 8 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Monaco 0–1 Lille