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Ligue 1
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · 8:05 PM GMT

Lille vs Lens Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 40% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.5%18.4%11.0%2.0%<1%
If Win 3.7%27.6%12.8%1.0%<1%
If Draw 2.0%18.2%11.9%1.7%<1%
If Lose <1%12.0%9.2%2.6%<1%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.5%27.6%12.5%<1%<1%
If Win 6.2%35.6%14.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 4.0%26.2%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 3.0%19.6%11.9%1.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatLens
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.8
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatLens
11All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)3
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.7Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Lille 3–0 Lens