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Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Lens vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 55% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
55%
20%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.0%2.8%11.8%4.1%
If Win <1%6.6%5.6%5.8%1.7%
If Draw <1%3.4%3.0%10.2%4.2%
If Lose <1%1.8%2.5%14.4%4.7%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.0%19.1%10.7%1.8%<1%
If Win 3.2%22.6%12.0%1.1%<1%
If Draw 1.5%14.5%9.9%2.9%<1%
If Lose 1.3%11.6%8.1%3.7%1.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatMarseille
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Marseille 3–1 Lens