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Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Marseille vs Le Mans Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 52% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
1-3-1 · Rating 1707
Form: WDDLD
Model Probability
52%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.4%1.4%18.5%10.1%
If Win <1%2.2%2.2%13.7%4.6%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.3%19.2%8.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%23.1%11.8%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.0%3.3%11.6%4.7%
If Win <1%5.2%4.3%8.5%2.5%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.1%13.2%4.9%
If Lose <1%1.4%1.7%15.7%6.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLe Mans
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.8
1.6Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 60% / 20%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLe Mans
1All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)0
1Last 1 meetings (0 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2010-01-20): Marseille 2–1 Le Mans