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Ligue 1
Fri, Oct 16, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Le Mans vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Le Mans has a 40% chance to win.

1-3-1 · Rating 1707
Form: WDDLD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.3%1.8%14.6%4.7%
If Win <1%3.9%3.4%9.0%2.6%
If Draw <1%1.2%2.1%15.0%6.1%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.1%19.5%7.9%

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.4%18.8%8.8%
If Win <1%1.8%2.0%14.7%5.7%
If Draw <1%<1%1.1%19.7%9.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%24.9%12.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Le MansStatToulouse
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 60% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Le MansStatToulouse
0All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)1
0Last 1 meetings (0 draws)1
1.0Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2010-01-30): Le Mans 1–3 Toulouse