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Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

PSG vs Le Mans Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 79% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
1-3-1 · Rating 1707
Form: WDDLD
Model Probability
79%
8%
Draw 13%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%18.7%8.4%
If Win <1%3.4%2.2%12.3%3.9%
If Draw <1%1.4%1.3%17.1%6.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%20.4%10.3%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 61.9%91.2%4.1%<1%<1%
If Win 64.4%92.5%4.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 53.6%87.5%5.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 45.7%81.7%7.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLe Mans
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.8
1.4Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 60% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLe Mans
0All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)1
0Last 1 meetings (0 draws)1
0.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2010-05-08): Le Mans 1–0 PSG