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Ligue 1
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 4:15 PM GMT

Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 51% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1717
Form: LDLDL
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Havre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.7%17.8%
If Win <1%<1%1.1%20.1%8.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.1%15.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.2%21.4%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.0%11.4%4.1%
If Win <1%4.7%4.5%8.3%2.5%
If Draw <1%1.9%2.5%12.3%4.4%
If Lose <1%1.7%1.7%16.3%6.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLe Havre
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.6Avg goals conceded1.4
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLe Havre
6All-time wins (6 meetings, 0 draws)0
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
3.3Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Le Havre 0–1 Marseille