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Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Auxerre has a 37% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.0%3.0%11.4%4.2%
If Win <1%5.5%5.0%6.4%1.9%
If Draw <1%2.4%3.4%11.1%4.6%
If Lose <1%1.8%1.8%14.9%6.3%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.6%1.5%19.3%8.4%
If Win <1%1.8%2.4%15.3%6.0%
If Draw <1%<1%1.2%20.8%9.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%24.8%13.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
2.4Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatMarseille
2All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-13): Marseille 1–0 Auxerre