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Auxerre vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 42% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-6Rating 1698
Form: LLDWL
vs
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
42%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.0%12.7%<1%<1%
If Win <1%36.2%15.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.6%12.9%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%19.7%11.3%<1%<1%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%29.2%7.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%22.6%3.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.1%7.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.0%11.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatMarseille
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored2.2
2.4Avg goals conceded1.4
30% / 10% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatMarseille
2All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-13): Marseille 1–0 Auxerre