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Lille vs Auxerre Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 60% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 4:15 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lille
6-3-1Rating 1808
Form: WWDDW
vs
Model Probability
60%
Draw 23%
17%
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-6Rating 1698
Form: LLDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%30.0%7.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%21.0%3.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.9%6.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.3%9.3%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%45.7%12.7%<1%<1%
If Win 1.5%51.2%13.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.0%38.7%13.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%32.0%12.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatAuxerre
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
0.7Avg goals conceded2.4
60% / 30% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 10% / 60%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatAuxerre
5All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Lille 0–2 Auxerre