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Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Lens vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 59% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.8%1.9%16.1%6.1%
If Win <1%4.3%3.8%8.6%2.4%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.3%15.4%4.8%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.3%17.4%7.9%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.7%19.5%9.5%1.6%<1%
If Win 3.0%22.2%12.7%1.2%<1%
If Draw 1.4%13.7%10.2%2.7%<1%
If Lose 1.2%11.3%8.2%3.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatToulouse
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatToulouse
8All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-04-17): Lens 3–2 Toulouse