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Lens vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 49% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lens
4-1-5Rating 1790
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.1%3.3%6.0%<1%
If Win <1%6.0%6.2%2.8%<1%
If Draw <1%3.0%3.5%5.8%<1%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.3%8.4%1.0%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%6.9%6.1%3.1%<1%
If Win <1%10.4%7.5%1.5%<1%
If Draw <1%4.8%5.1%2.5%<1%
If Lose <1%3.1%3.5%4.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatToulouse
10Games played10
1.7Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.4
40% / 10% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatToulouse
8All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-04-17): Lens 3–2 Toulouse