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Ligue 1
Sun, Nov 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Lyon vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 43% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.2%57.7%12.4%<1%<1%
If Win 25.2%71.3%9.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 16.5%60.4%11.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 11.5%50.9%13.6%<1%<1%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.0%37.7%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 9.7%45.5%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 6.2%33.6%14.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 3.6%26.5%13.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatMonaco
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.6
0.4Avg goals conceded0.6
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
67% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatMonaco
15All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.9Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Lyon 1–2 Monaco