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Strasbourg vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 46% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3-1-6Rating 1764
Form: LWLLL
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.8%4.3%4.4%<1%
If Win <1%7.2%6.2%2.2%<1%
If Draw <1%3.8%3.8%3.6%<1%
If Lose <1%2.3%2.9%6.0%<1%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.1%2.4%7.9%1.3%
If Win <1%3.4%3.9%3.9%<1%
If Draw <1%1.9%2.3%8.5%1.2%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.2%10.9%1.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatLorient
10Games played10
1.8Avg goals scored0.9
2.2Avg goals conceded0.8
30% / 10% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
50% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatLorient
3All-time wins (10 meetings, 4 draws)3
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg