Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / PSG vs Lorient
Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

PSG vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 76% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
76%
9%
Draw 15%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.9%1.7%15.2%5.8%
If Win <1%5.5%4.7%8.3%2.0%
If Draw <1%2.6%2.3%12.2%4.0%
If Lose <1%1.5%2.0%16.2%6.9%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 62.4%91.2%3.9%<1%<1%
If Win 65.4%92.8%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 53.8%88.2%5.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 48.2%83.6%6.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLorient
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.0
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLorient
14All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-02): PSG 2–2 Lorient