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PSG vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 81% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
81%
Draw 12%
7%
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.3%3.8%4.4%<1%
If Win <1%9.4%7.8%1.6%<1%
If Draw <1%5.5%4.4%2.8%<1%
If Lose <1%3.6%3.0%4.6%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 96.5%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 96.4%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 93.5%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 91.2%99.4%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLorient
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored0.9
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
70% / 20% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
75% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLorient
14All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-02): PSG 2–2 Lorient