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Ligue 1
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

PSG vs Troyes Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 81% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
Model Probability
81%
7%
Draw 12%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.8%19.1%
If Win <1%1.5%1.2%19.4%9.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.7%16.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.1%20.5%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 62.1%91.3%3.6%<1%<1%
If Win 64.3%93.9%3.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 53.9%87.2%6.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 45.0%82.5%7.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatTroyes
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.8
1.4Avg goals conceded2.2
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatTroyes
9All-time wins (10 meetings, 1 draws)0
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
3.3Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2023-05-07): Troyes 1–3 PSG