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Monaco vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 57% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-4-2Rating 1828
Form: DLDLD
vs
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
19%
Ligue 1
Nice
5-2-3Rating 1736
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.8%4.3%3.7%<1%
If Win <1%11.2%7.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%5.7%5.3%2.6%<1%
If Lose <1%3.5%3.5%3.9%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%31.1%14.3%<1%<1%
If Win <1%36.3%14.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%25.1%13.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%19.5%11.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatNice
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.1Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
50% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatNice
14All-time wins (29 meetings, 6 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-08): Nice 0–0 Monaco