Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Marseille vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability
Marseille has a 37% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Lille
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4.4% | 28.5% | 13.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 7.1% | 37.5% | 14.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.9% | 27.7% | 14.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 3.1% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 1.4% | <1% |
Marseille
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 13.9% | 5.8% |
| Marseille | Stat | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 20% / 0% / 80% | Win / Draw / Loss | 60% / 20% / 20% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Marseille | Stat | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws) | 12 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 3 |
| 1.3 | Average goals | 1.2 |