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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Brest vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Brest has a 38% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1717
Form: LLWDD
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.2%3.6%11.3%3.4%
If Win <1%5.0%3.7%6.6%1.6%
If Draw <1%3.0%2.9%10.9%3.7%
If Lose <1%1.4%2.7%14.1%6.7%

Brest

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.8%1.0%18.1%9.2%
If Win <1%2.2%2.0%13.4%4.4%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.3%20.0%8.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%24.0%12.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrestStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrestStatMarseille
5All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
0.9Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-02-20): Brest 2–0 Marseille