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Brest vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Brest has a 38% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Brest
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WWLDW
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%26.9%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win <1%38.4%14.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.7%12.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%19.6%11.3%<1%<1%

Brest

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.4%4.7%3.5%<1%
If Win <1%8.8%6.9%1.5%<1%
If Draw <1%5.0%4.0%3.6%<1%
If Lose <1%2.3%2.5%5.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrestStatMarseille
10Games played10
1.8Avg goals scored2.2
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrestStatMarseille
5All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
0.9Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-02-20): Brest 2–0 Marseille