Ligue 1
Sun, Dec 13, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Lyon vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability
Lyon has a 54% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Marseille
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 10.7% | 3.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 13.6% | 4.6% |
Lyon
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 7.1% | 37.6% | 13.7% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 8.9% | 44.1% | 14.4% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 6.4% | 33.9% | 14.6% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 4.3% | 27.4% | 12.5% | 1.1% | <1% |
| Lyon | Stat | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 0.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 60% / 40% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 0% / 80% |
| 67% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Lyon | Stat | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | All-time wins (32 meetings, 10 draws) | 9 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.6 | Average goals | 1.3 |