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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Nice vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 46% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
27%
46%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.5%38.3%13.5%<1%<1%
If Win 8.7%42.9%14.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 6.0%34.8%13.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.1%31.0%11.8%1.1%<1%

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.1%16.6%
If Win <1%1.2%1.1%21.0%9.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.8%14.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%26.8%19.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NiceStatLyon
5Games played5
0.6Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.4
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NiceStatLyon
11All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)16
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Lyon 2–0 Nice