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Ligue 1
Sun, Mar 21, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT

Marseille vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 37% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.4%37.4%13.8%<1%<1%
If Win 9.8%44.3%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 6.6%36.0%14.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.2%31.8%13.3%<1%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.0%3.0%12.2%4.1%
If Win <1%5.1%4.0%7.6%2.5%
If Draw <1%2.6%3.1%11.6%4.3%
If Lose <1%1.8%2.0%12.8%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLyon
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.0
1.6Avg goals conceded0.4
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLyon
9All-time wins (32 meetings, 10 draws)13
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-03-01): Marseille 3–2 Lyon