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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Auxerre vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Auxerre has a 40% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.8%2.6%13.6%5.4%
If Win <1%3.2%2.9%10.8%2.7%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.7%15.0%4.8%
If Lose <1%1.5%1.7%17.1%6.7%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%1.7%20.1%10.3%
If Win <1%1.7%1.7%15.1%6.1%
If Draw <1%<1%1.1%19.2%9.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.9%11.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatLorient
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
2.4Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatLorient
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-01): Lorient 2–2 Auxerre