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Auxerre vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Auxerre has a 37% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-6Rating 1698
Form: LLDWL
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.2%3.8%5.0%<1%
If Win <1%5.5%5.2%2.0%<1%
If Draw <1%3.1%3.1%4.2%<1%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.5%5.6%<1%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%30.0%7.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%23.9%5.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%30.3%8.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.0%11.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatLorient
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored0.9
2.4Avg goals conceded0.8
30% / 10% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatLorient
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-01): Lorient 2–2 Auxerre