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Lorient vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 68% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW
vs
Model Probability
13%
Draw 19%
68%
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 96.6%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 97.5%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 95.0%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 93.8%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.2%3.5%4.4%<1%
If Win <1%6.9%6.2%2.0%<1%
If Draw <1%4.9%3.6%3.9%<1%
If Lose <1%3.2%3.1%4.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatPSG
10Games played10
0.9Avg goals scored2.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 20% / 10%
40% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatPSG
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-05-02): PSG 2–2 Lorient