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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lorient vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 61% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1977
Form: WWLDD
Model Probability
17%
61%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 61.6%91.8%3.4%<1%<1%
If Win 65.2%93.8%2.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 57.6%88.2%5.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 53.1%86.9%5.4%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%2.6%13.9%6.2%
If Win <1%3.8%3.4%10.8%2.7%
If Draw <1%2.6%1.9%15.0%5.2%
If Lose <1%1.8%2.4%16.2%6.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatPSG
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatPSG
4All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2026-05-02): PSG 2–2 Lorient