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Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Monaco vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 58% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
58%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.1%1.9%14.4%6.0%
If Win <1%3.7%2.8%10.2%2.8%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.9%13.5%4.5%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.0%14.7%6.4%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 15.7%58.7%13.3%<1%<1%
If Win 19.5%63.1%12.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.0%56.6%13.1%<1%<1%
If Lose 11.9%52.1%12.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatLorient
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.0
0.6Avg goals conceded1.2
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatLorient
8All-time wins (21 meetings, 7 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-16): Monaco 1–3 Lorient