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Ligue 1
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lens vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 45% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 15.6%59.1%12.2%<1%<1%
If Win 21.4%67.0%11.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 16.3%59.4%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 13.7%52.8%13.4%<1%<1%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.0%19.3%10.8%1.9%<1%
If Win 2.9%22.0%11.1%1.5%<1%
If Draw 1.7%15.6%11.1%1.8%<1%
If Lose 1.1%12.6%10.4%2.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatMonaco
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatMonaco
7All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-09-18): Monaco 2–1 Lens