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Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lens vs Le Mans Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 63% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
1-3-1 · Rating 1707
Form: WDDLD
Model Probability
63%
15%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.4%20.0%8.2%
If Win <1%1.9%1.9%14.2%4.9%
If Draw <1%1.3%1.4%18.3%9.1%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%19.7%9.2%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.4%19.6%9.7%2.2%<1%
If Win 2.4%21.0%10.8%1.6%<1%
If Draw 1.9%14.5%9.5%2.8%<1%
If Lose 1.0%11.3%10.2%3.3%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatLe Mans
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored1.8
1.8Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 60% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatLe Mans
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Le Mans 2–2 Lens