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Lens vs Le Mans Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 59% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Lens
4-1-5Rating 1790
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
Ligue 1
Le Mans
1-5-4Rating 1685
Form: DLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Mans

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%33.3%12.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%27.6%6.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%34.5%12.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.7%14.2%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%7.2%6.3%2.4%<1%
If Win <1%9.0%6.8%1.5%<1%
If Draw <1%5.3%4.7%3.3%<1%
If Lose <1%4.3%3.8%4.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatLe Mans
10Games played10
1.7Avg goals scored1.2
1.5Avg goals conceded1.9
40% / 10% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss10% / 50% / 40%
60% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatLe Mans
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Le Mans 2–2 Lens