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Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Monaco vs Paris FC Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 54% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1773
Form: WDWWD
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.0%15.3%10.4%2.6%<1%
If Win 3.1%21.6%10.6%1.0%<1%
If Draw 2.5%16.3%10.3%2.4%<1%
If Lose 1.7%13.2%8.7%2.6%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 15.8%58.0%11.3%<1%<1%
If Win 17.8%62.7%13.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 13.9%53.7%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 12.4%50.9%13.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatParis FC
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.6Avg goals conceded0.6
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatParis FC
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)2
0Last 2 meetings (0 draws)2
0.5Average goals2.5
Last meeting (2026-04-10): Paris FC 4–1 Monaco