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Monaco vs Paris FC Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 50% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-4-2Rating 1828
Form: DLDLD
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
Ligue 1
Paris FC
6-2-2Rating 1787
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%27.5%12.5%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%37.8%14.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%29.0%13.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%21.9%12.3%<1%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%31.8%13.3%<1%<1%
If Win <1%36.6%13.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%28.9%12.3%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%21.7%12.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatParis FC
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.7
1.1Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatParis FC
0All-time wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)3
0Last 3 meetings (0 draws)3
0.7Average goals2.7
Last meeting (2026-11-01): Paris FC 3–1 Monaco