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Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Paris FC vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Paris FC has a 46% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1773
Form: WDWWD
VS
1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.0%3.5%10.3%5.1%
If Win <1%4.4%4.7%8.8%2.4%
If Draw <1%3.0%3.5%11.0%4.0%
If Lose <1%2.3%2.6%12.1%4.6%

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.8%15.8%9.9%2.3%<1%
If Win 2.8%18.5%10.8%1.1%<1%
If Draw 1.6%13.1%8.9%2.5%<1%
If Lose 1.0%11.1%8.5%3.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Paris FCStatMarseille
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.6Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 0% / 80%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Paris FCStatMarseille
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 1 draws)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draws)1
2.3Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Marseille 2–3 Paris FC