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Paris FC vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Paris FC has a 43% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Paris FC
6-2-2Rating 1787
Form: WWLWL
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 28%
30%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%27.4%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win <1%37.6%14.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.7%12.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%23.0%12.0%<1%<1%

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%27.8%13.7%<1%<1%
If Win <1%34.2%14.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.8%12.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%20.9%12.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Paris FCStatMarseille
10Games played10
1.7Avg goals scored2.2
1.0Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
80% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Paris FCStatMarseille
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 1 draws)1
1Last 3 meetings (1 draws)1
2.3Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Marseille 2–3 Paris FC