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Ligue 1
Sat, May 29, 2027 · 8:00 PM BST

Marseille vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 48% chance to win.

1-0-4 · Rating 1764
Form: LLLLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.2%2.8%13.7%5.3%
If Win <1%2.9%2.8%10.5%3.0%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.2%14.1%5.5%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.1%16.2%5.9%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.1%3.6%11.1%4.1%
If Win <1%4.1%4.4%8.3%2.8%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.7%12.0%4.5%
If Lose <1%2.0%2.6%13.5%5.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLorient
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 0% / 80%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLorient
15All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Lorient 2–0 Marseille