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Marseille vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 51% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 29, 2027 · 8:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.2%3.6%4.4%<1%
If Win <1%6.2%5.3%2.2%<1%
If Draw <1%4.0%4.1%4.5%<1%
If Lose <1%2.8%2.9%5.5%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.4%13.5%<1%<1%
If Win <1%31.7%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%25.0%13.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%20.4%11.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLorient
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored0.9
1.4Avg goals conceded0.8
60% / 0% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLorient
15All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Lorient 2–0 Marseille