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Lorient vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lorient has a 36% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW
vs
Model Probability
36%
Draw 28%
36%
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%25.1%11.8%<1%<1%
If Win <1%31.5%13.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%24.4%12.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%20.4%11.7%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.8%3.8%4.5%<1%
If Win <1%5.2%4.4%2.8%<1%
If Draw <1%3.5%3.9%4.3%<1%
If Lose <1%2.5%2.4%6.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatLyon
10Games played10
0.9Avg goals scored1.5
0.8Avg goals conceded0.9
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatLyon
6All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-12): Lyon 2–0 Lorient