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Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lorient vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 40% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
32%
40%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.5%37.4%13.8%<1%<1%
If Win 8.4%42.7%14.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 7.2%36.5%14.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.3%33.4%13.5%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.3%2.5%14.2%6.1%
If Win <1%2.6%2.9%11.1%3.2%
If Draw <1%2.4%1.9%14.3%5.0%
If Lose <1%1.4%1.2%16.7%7.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatLyon
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.4
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatLyon
6All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-12): Lyon 2–0 Lorient