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Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 45% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.2%3.7%5.0%<1%
If Win <1%6.6%4.9%1.8%<1%
If Draw <1%3.7%3.8%3.9%<1%
If Lose <1%2.6%2.9%6.0%<1%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.4%3.6%6.4%<1%
If Win <1%3.9%4.1%3.9%<1%
If Draw <1%2.2%2.5%6.7%<1%
If Lose <1%2.1%1.7%7.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatLorient
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored0.9
1.4Avg goals conceded0.8
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatLorient
8All-time wins (22 meetings, 10 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-09-12): Lorient 2–2 Toulouse