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Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 44% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%2.5%14.7%5.2%
If Win <1%3.1%3.3%10.8%3.0%
If Draw <1%1.9%2.1%14.2%5.3%
If Lose <1%1.7%1.4%16.6%6.8%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.1%2.1%15.4%5.9%
If Win <1%2.9%2.4%10.9%3.4%
If Draw <1%1.3%2.0%17.4%7.0%
If Lose <1%1.4%1.2%18.7%7.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatLorient
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatLorient
8All-time wins (22 meetings, 10 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-09-12): Lorient 2–2 Toulouse